Yesterday wasn’t something to worry about. The first Spring Training game of the year is kind of like speed dating. You get a small, superficial look at a whole lot of people. You might find the person you love and want to spend the rest of your life with, you might find someone wildly attractive, you might find nothing, you might even get fucked.
Last year was the first time Francisco Liriano pitched 150+ innings for the second consecutive year since he became an every day Major Leaguer. Injuries and fatigue have long been a worry in regards to Liriano.
That worries me more than a bad ST outing.
In addition to that some of his numbers give me pause.
I get that PNC Park is basically heaven for a guy like Liriano, but if he’s that reliant on the ballpark I logically have to question how good he really is. Is heavy reliance on the ballpark a good way to move forward? How long can that last at such an extreme level? Maybe another year? Certainly not forever.
He wasn’t just slightly worse on the road, he was substantially worse.
More to the point that gives me not just pause, but menopause, he started to fade. Something that was actually a problem with much of the staff.
Liriano’s worst ERA came in August and Sept/Oct. Surely not a tell-all, but a bit of smoke.
None of that means Liriano will suck. Which is inevitably what everyone will think I’m saying. I’m just saying that Liriano has some warts. They are currently being overlooked because people are still pretty euphoric over winning 94 games and making the playoffs. I’m not saying we’re going to see a 5.00 ERA, but I think 4.00 – 4.50 is more likely than 3.00 – 3.50.